ARE WE STIMULATED YET?
Friday, August 20th, 2010The economy shed 131,000 jobs in July and June job creation was revised downward, according to the Labor Department. Unemployment remains at 9.5%, not counting the millions who’ve given up looking or settled for part-time work. Obama and the Democrats spent $862 billion to jump-start the economy and create jobs, plus another recent $26 billion to stimulate previously stimulated teachers. Obama’s stimulus is a colossal failure.
It was doomed to fail. It’s based on a flawed model, Demand Theory: Americans aren’t spending and investing enough, so increase demand through government spending. This doesn’t work, because the government can’t create wealth. It can tax wealth away to redistribute it, or destroy it by excessive regulation and taxes. The only place for government to get money is the private sector. Less money in the private sector makes it harder to create jobs.
High unemployment and debt were also the result of FDR’s New Deal. Elected in 1932, FDR doubled federal spending by 1940. From 1934 to 1940, median unemployment was 17%. During the 1930’s, unemployment was never below 14%.
Exactly how are our stimulus dollars being spent? We spent $555,000 to replace windows at a closed visitor’s center at Mt. St. Helens and a whopping $62 million on a tunnel in Pittsburgh that Democrat Gov. Ed Rendell called “a tragic mistake.” This is stimulating, but not in a good way.
But wait, the worst may be yet to come. Massive tax increases loom for 2011, leaving even less for private-sector job creation. Everyone’s personal income tax is scheduled to rise about 3%. The capital gains tax will rise from 15% to 20%. Dividend taxes will rise from 15% to 39.6%. The smart money saw this coming. Corporations and small business trimmed expenses and took profits in 2010 to take advantage of lower taxes. This likely inflated growth numbers and made the economy look better than it was.
How do we fix this mess? The answers are found in history and common sense. History shows us two presidents who quickly turned around bad economies, Harding and Reagan. Common sense tells us if you want economic growth and jobs, make it cheaper to create them. To do this, cut taxes; but not all tax cuts are created equal. Cuts in personal tax rates encourage productivity because we get to keep more of what we earn. Cuts in capital gains and dividend taxes increase investment and business start-ups. The road map to prosperity exists. Now we need a Congress and a President who will take the right road.
Michael A. Morrongiello, Ph. D.